Selling Bob Barr short?
Posted by Dan on May 28th, 2008
2008
May 28
I wish Intrade had a Barr contract that I could short. The closest thing is the “Field” contract on the Presidency, which pays off if someone other than a Democrat or Republican is elected. This contract would cover Bob Barr and Ralph Nader and anyone else, and is trading at 1.4%. With 5 months until the election, that’s 3.36% annualized. Not very attractive, but I suppose there are worse trades. In comparison, Hillary is at 7.7% or 18.48% annualized.
Maybe the Ron Paul supporters will migrate to Barr and bid up the the Field contract. Meanwhile, my Gore short position is in the money, and I’ve added a bit to my Hillary short position.